General Election 2024

[Bernard Marx]

www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/22/farage-playing-into-putins-hands-with-ukraine-claims-says-sunak

Farage scapegoats refugees and Muslims on a daily basis, and the MSM and political class platform him incessantly, letting his party debate despite having fewer elected MPs and Councillors than the Greens and Workers Party (who aren’t allowed on).

Farage briefly criticises NATO expansionism, and they lose their shit. That’s what it took for them to stop promoting him. Wankers.

[Bernard Marx]

Starmer attends a Taylor Swift concert to establish his credentials as “down wiv da kids”. 

I wonder if he’ll use the song he refers to in this article as his victory anthem? It’d only make my blood boil ever more on the day.

news.sky.com/story/amp/keir-starmer-makes-campaign-pitstop-at-taylor-swift-eras-concert-with-stars-spotted-in-crowd-13157036

[UncleDeadly]

Yes. The swear-filter basically made my next post impossible...

[Bernard Marx]

Jun 21, 2024 12:39:19 GMT Bernard Marx said:

I'll almost certainly hold my nose and vote Liberal Democrat to oust the prick. At least I'm not voting for Starmer!

On second thought, after seeing these ridiculous and incessant polls placing the Tories on a minuscule number of seats and giving Labour and the Libs a huge advantage, sod it. The Tories will lose anyway and the Libs don’t need my vote. I’ll vote Green instead.

I want to stick a middle finger up at the establishment parties without voting for Farage’s millionaire-funded Reform Party, and the Greens offer the best opportunity to do so in my constituency.

[Deleted]

I've lived in a Green constituency (three guesses where) and it was the dirtiest place I've ever been

[Bernard Marx]

Jun 29, 2024 11:04:37 GMT @theyakemperor said:

I've lived in a Green constituency (three guesses where) and it was the dirtiest place I've ever been

There’s only one constituency- it’s Brighton Pavilion.

Mind you, they have sod all chance of getting in where I live as it is.

[UncleDeadly]

Jun 29, 2024 11:04:37 GMT @theyakemperor said:

I've lived in a Green constituency (three guesses where) and it was the dirtiest place I've ever been

So i believe. Just don't look in the shop windows and you'll be fine...

[Ludders II]

Let's see how right or wrong this turns out to be...

www.survation.com/survation-mrp-labour-99-certain-to-win-more-seats-than-in-1997/

[Bernard Marx]

Jul 3, 2024 8:10:00 GMT Ludders II said:

Let's see how right or wrong this turns out to be...

www.survation.com/survation-mrp-labour-99-certain-to-win-more-seats-than-in-1997/

I reckon Hayward’s prediction is more accurate, not least because he got 1992, 2015 and 2017 right when the polls didn’t.

Lord Hayward correctly predicted the Tory victory in 1992, despite the polls suggesting that Labour was going to win power. He also predicted a victory for the Conservative Party in 2015, and its failure to win in 2017, in spite of what the polls were saying.

He now believes the polls are wrong again, and is particularly critical of MRP polls, which claim to be more accurate than others.

He said: “I see no evidence, broadly, that the polls are any better now. The difficulty they face is that you have a volatile electorate.

“We’ve got large numbers of undecideds, so it makes it very difficult to be sure as to how accurate the polls are, and I think they are inaccurate. I think they are overestimating the Labour Party. They’re underestimating the Conservatives. Some have overestimated Reform.

“I think, having said that, the errors are not going to mean that it’s anything other than a clear Labour majority – but there is still a lot to fight for, and a great deal of uncertainty.”

Lord Hayward said Labour may fail to gain seats in some parts of the North and the Midlands, because traditional support for the party among Muslim voters has switched to Muslim independent candidates.

He also believes the problem of racists supporting Reform UK has hit that party’s vote share, which he believes will top out at around 13 per cent and is now falling.

www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/sunak-polls-last-ditch-rally-election-b2572088.html#comments-area

He also points out that the MRP polls have a 300% margin of error between them, which casts doubt as to whether any of them are remotely reliable.

[Ludders II]

Interesting!
We shall see.

[burrunjor]

SNP as always. I'm dealing with a bit of agorophobia right now, but I'm going to try and overcome it for this.

[burrunjor]

Vote cast for the SNP. I braved going out earlier today. I don't know what I want to happen down in England meanwhile as all your big choices are absolute f*cking bollocks.

[Bernard Marx]

The only genuinely satisfying part of Election Night thus far: Starmer’s own majority has been halved, with a swing of -17.4%.

[Ludders II]

Jul 5, 2024 2:06:18 GMT Bernard Marx said:

The only genuinely satisfying part of Election Night thus far: Starmer’s own majority has been halved, with a swing of -17.4%.

Also:

[Ludders II]

And this made me feel better about voting Green.
I know it means nothing in the end, but I still take some small comfort from it.